Märkte & Kurse

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Original-Research: INDUS Holding AG - from Parmantier & Cie. GmbH

31.03.2026 / 15:00 CET/CEST
Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS
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Classification of Parmantier & Cie. GmbH to INDUS Holding AG

     Company Name:                INDUS Holding AG
     ISIN:                        DE0006200108

     Reason for the research:     Update
     Recommendation:              Buy
     from:                        30.03.2026
     Target price:                EUR 35.00
     Target price on sight of:    12 months
     Last rating change:          none
     Analyst:                     Daniel Großjohann & Thomas Schießle

Strong Q4 and record order book - despite a challenging environment, INDUS
will be able to increase revenue and adjusted EBITA in 2026

Revenue (EUR1.735 billion; +0.8%) and adjusted EBITA (EUR147.8 million; -3.8%)
for 2025 had already been provisionally reported. EAT (EUR69.8 million; +28%)
and EPS (2.77; +34%) increased disproportionately. However, this success was
aided by one-off effects that had a positive impact on the tax rate. The
overall economic environment in 2026 remains challenging and difficult to
predict (war in Iran). We expect INDUS to succeed in expanding revenue in
2026 and also increasing adjusted EBITA. Q1, however, could be weaker than
the same quarter last year. Based on our estimates, the INDUS share remains
attractively valued with a 2026 P/E ratio of 9.4 and a dividend yield of
just under 5%.

All three segments are expected to contribute to revenue growth in 2026. In
the Infrastructure segment, INDUS anticipates a moderate rise in revenue,
accompanied by a sharp increase in earnings. For the Engineering segment, a
slight rise in revenue is expected alongside a moderate increase in
earnings; the record-high segment order book will only have an impact in the
medium term (large-scale plant construction projects in the US). In
Materials Solutions in particular, rising raw material prices (which are
largely passed on to customers) play a key role in the expected moderate
rise in revenue, although margins here will decline.

As rising raw material prices (particularly metals) will lead to higher
working capital (inventories), free cash flow in 2026 is expected to be
lower than in 2025. However, this challenge also presents an opportunity for
INDUS, as smaller competitors unable to bear these costs could consequently
exit the market.

Group outlook: For the 2026 financial year, INDUS is forecasting revenue of
between EUR1.8 billion and EUR1.95 billion, with adjusted EBITA expected to be
between EUR150 million and EUR170 million. This corresponds to an adjusted EBITA
margin of between 7.5% and 9.5%. FCF is expected to exceed EUR70 million.

DISCLAIMER
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This research report ('Investment Recommendation') was prepared by
Parmantier & Cie. Research,
with contributions from Mr. Grossjohann, and is distributed solely by
Parmantier & Cie. Research.
It is intended only for the recipient and may not be shared with other
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of the same corporate group, without prior written consent. The report
contains selected information
and makes no claim to completeness. The investment recommendation is based
on publicly available
information ('Information'), which is considered correct and complete.
However, Parmantier & Cie.
Research does not verify or guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this
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which assumes no liability for
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accuracy of statements,
forecasts, or other content in this investment recommendation concerning the
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PARMANTIER & Cie. GmbH
info@parmantiercie.com

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2301524 31.03.2026 CET/CEST

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