17.01.2024-
Original-Research: INDUS Holding AG (von NuWays AG): BUY
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Original-Research: INDUS Holding AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu INDUS Holding AG
Unternehmen: INDUS Holding AG
ISIN: DE0006200108
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 17.01.2024
Kursziel: 34.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Another promising year for INDUS
Topic: While INDUS should experience some margin pressure in 2024e, the
EBIT margin is still seen to come in at 8.0%, which is the highest
operating margin since 2017. With an appealing dividend yield of 5.5%
(eNuW) and an attractive valuation of only 4.6x EV/EBITDA, the stock
remains a buy.
Normalizing margins: In FY23, INDUS benefited from lower material prices,
especially in the Materials segment, which is seen to lead to a FY23e EBIT
margin of 8.6%. On group level, the material cost ratio declined by 1.6pp
to 46.8%. However, this positive price effect should revert in FY24e, as
customers are starting to renegotiate in light of the deflating price
levels. In addition, wage inflation remains an issue for FY24e. After the
personnel expense ratio rose by 1.1pp yoy to 28.5% at FY23e, further wage
increases are in the books as unions are increasing the pressure. Hence, we
expect the EBIT margin in FY24e to decrease by 0.3pp (eNuW FY23: 8.3%),
which is still the highest margin since 2017.
Supply-chain issues solved: After the start of the Covid19 pandemic, global
supply-chains were significantly dislocated, jeopardizing normal
operations. This also affected the portfolio companies of INDUS during the
previous fiscal years. However, at the end of FY23, supply-chain issues
were largely solved and not a single portfolio company was materially
affected.
Portfolio realignment completed: As part of its 'PARKOUR' efficiency
program, INDUS decided to discontinue the majority of its highly
loss-making automotive-related business. While SMA filed for insolvency in
Oct.'22, management sold SCHÄFER economically effective on July 31, 2023,
and SELZER on August 31, 2023. SELZER alone is seen to rake up a EUR 22m loss
while generating EUR 65m in sales during FY23e.
Appealing dividend yield: Caused by the weak performance of the
automotive-related companies SELZER and SCHÄFER, dividends for the last two
years came in rather low compared to previous years. Due to the divestment
of the automotive business and a successful operating performance in FY23,
we expect a dividend of EUR 1.2 (eNuW) per share for the recent fiscal year
(FY22: EUR 0.8). Based on yesterday's closing price, this would lead to an
appealing dividend yield of 5.5% (FY22: 3.6%).
INDUS remains attractively priced trading at only 4.6x EV/EBITDA 2023e,
which is 34% below its historical average. We reiterate our BUY rating with
an unchanged PT of EUR 34 based on FCFY 2024e.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28691.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
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