Märkte & Kurse

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Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA - from NuWays AG

Classification of NuWays AG to Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA

Company Name: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092

Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
Target price: EUR 5.50
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change: 
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald

Third final in club history guarantees extra profit / chg.
 
On Tuesday, BVB visited Paris St. Germain for the second leg of the UEFA
Champions League semifinal. Thanks to a 1-0 victory, the team managed to
advance to the final for the first time since 2013. With this, the club can
now expect additional UEFA prize money payments of at least EUR 15.5m.
Consequently, we anticipate an increase of the EBT and EBITDA guidance, as
we have seen it after previous UCL advancements. Keep in mind that those
premium payments have a de facto 100% margin.
 
The final in London will see BVB take on the winner of the Real Madrid vs
Bayern Munich fixture, which is taking place tonight. Against either team
BVB should be seen in the outsider role, and we therefore do not model any
income from a potential Champions League victory. However, should Borussia
Dortmund manage to win the final, the club would receive additional premium
payments of EUR 4.5m for the victory, along with at least EUR 3.5m for
participating in the UEFA Super Cup (UCL winner vs UEL winner).
 
Looking at the Bundesliga table, Borussia Dortmund has mathematically
secured at least 5 th place, guaranteeing the club's participation in the
upcoming Champions League season. Notably, this qualification
marks an important achievement for BVB, especially considering the upcoming
UCL season will be played in a new format with an increased prize money
pool of EUR 2.5bn (+25%).
 
Furthermore, BVB has released its Q3 prelims, which showed a slight revenue
decrease 2.7% yoy to EUR 98.2m, which can be primarily attributed to a
reduced number of home games. Consequently, there was a decline in revenues
from Match Operations (down 16% yoy to EUR 10.7m) as well as from the
Conference, Catering and Miscellaneous segment (down 14% yoy to EUR 8.5m).
However, the TV-marketing segment experienced a 9% yoy increase, reaching EUR
38.1m, while Advertising sales showed a 3% uptick, amounting to EUR 35.5m. Q3
EBITDA came in at EUR 1.8m, compared to EUR 8.1m in the previous year.
 
Lastly, Borussia Dortmund has announced changes to its executive board,
including the appointment of Lars Ricken as a new member. Ricken, a former
BVB player and director of the youth academy, will now be responsible for
sporting activities, effective May 1st. Hans-Joachim Watzke, set to depart
the executive board by the end of 2025 had previously announced plans to
delegate sporting responsibilities by summer 2024, a decision now honoured
by the executive committee with the appointment of Ricken.
 
Reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of EUR 5.50 based on DCF.

You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29621.pdf
For additional information visit our website
www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Contact for questions
NuWays AG  - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.

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The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.

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